Monday, September 28, 2020

Are ChE Students as Good as We Were?

This is an editorial in February 1991, CEP (Chemical Engineering Progress).
Written by Mark Rosenzweig.


    Having visited many campuses over the years, and spoken to countless chemical-engineering students at AIChE and other meetings, we don't detect any real change in the eagerness, earnestness, and enterprise of students.  There definitely are, however, differences in how well students are prepared for college.

    To paraphrase Mort Denn, editor of our sister publication, AIChE Journal, and a professor at the Univ. of California at Berkeley, who recently offered some telling reflections on what he has witnessed over the last 25 years:
    The current generation of chemical engineering students — with, of course, some exceptions — cannot communicate effectively.  Faculty members have always complained about students' written and oral presentations, but the deterioration over these last 25 years has been profound.  Skill in communication is closely tied to the way in which an individual formulates and approaches problems, and the failure of schools to emphasize writing has had a major impact on technical education and professional practice.
    Many chemical-engineering departments are trying explicitly to address this problem by superimposing stringent requirements for technical writing in engineering courses; some schools even provide special technical-writing courses.  A survey by CEP (see "Update" in this issue) details some of the initiatives being taken.  At CEP, we will try to do our part in helping engineers improve their communication skills.  For instance, the first of a series of articles on giving a good technical presentation appears in the next issue.

     Unfortunately, the changes go well beyond the loss of proficiency in communication.  Here too, Mort Denn undoubtedly speaks for many educators in pointing up two other key factors:

     It used to be taken for granted by faculty members and students alike that most learning was accomplished by reading difficult material and working through the logical problems.  Today's students, though no less hard working than their parents, do not wish to read; they expect the learning process to consist of doing — problem solving, for example.  They have come to expect a less tortuous path to knowledge, and no such path exists in chemical engineering.

    The reason for this change, many believe, is the "Sesame Street" approach to learning in primary and secondary education.  It assumes that students have limited attention spans and will absorb knowledge only if presented with it in short, sprightly quanta.

    Beyond this, I see another problem with current chemical-engineering students. Mental arithmetic and quantitative estimation were valued a generation ago.  Today, even the concept is foreign to students.  The replacement of the slide rule and analog computer (both of which require an appreciation of magnitudes) by the calculator and digital computer (which do not) has led to a loss of quantitative intuition, and the engineering profession is much the worse for this.  Students value precision in problem solving but typically show an alarming unawareness of accuracy.

     Efforts by engineering schools and by the chemical process industries to deal with the challenges that these changes pose are, of course, welcome.  What our profession is seeing, however, is only part of a far larger problem.  And the signs, so far, certainly are not encouraging that American society is really prepared to come to grips with it.











Interesting to note this was almost 30 years ago.

Mark Rosenzweig is still active in the ChE world and is still writing about how to make students and newly graduated better.  Here is an editorial from 2018
 

Tuesday, March 03, 2020

Promoting Archery As Sport






This is not my story.
I read it and then shared it with my Dad who laughed so hard he was crying.  He could totally relate to most of the story.  I knew then that this had to be saved and shared with other.

This is pure gold.

________________________________

Every kid should do something like this once...but only once. Around age 10 my dad got me one of those little compound bow beginner kits. Of course, the first month I went around our land sticking arrows in anything that could get stuck by an arrow. Did you know that a 1955 40 horse Farmall tractor will take 6 rounds before it goes down? Tough stuff.

That got boring, so being the 10 yr. old Dukes of Hazzard fan that I was, I quickly advanced to taking strips of cut up T-shirt doused in chainsaw gas tied around the end and was sending flaming arrows all over the place. Keep in mind this was 99.999% humidity swampland so there really wasn't any fire danger... I'll put it this way... a set of post-hole diggers and a 3ft. hole and you had yourself a well.

One summer afternoon, I was shooting flaming arrows into a large rotten oak stump in our backyard. I looked over toward the carport and saw a brand new can of truck starter fluid (ether). Brilliant idea! I grabbed the can and set it on the stump. I thought that it would probably just spray out in a disappointing manner. Let's face it, to a 10 yr. old mouth-breather like myself, ether really doesn't sound flammable. So, I went back into the house and got a 1-pound can of pyrodex (black powder for muzzle loader rifles). At this point, I set the can of ether on the stump and opened up the can of black powder. My intentions were to sprinkle a little around the ether can, but it all sorta dumped out. No biggie... 1 lb of pyrodex and 16oz of ether should make a loud pop, kinda like a firecracker, no? I went back in the house for the other can. Yes, I got a second can of pyrodex and dumped it too.

Now we're cookin'.

I stepped back about 15 ft and lit the 2-stroke arrow. I drew the nock to my cheek and took aim. As I released I heard a clunk from behind me as the arrow launched from my bow. In slow motion, I turned to see my dad getting out of the truck. UH OH! He just got home from work. So help me, it took 10 minutes for that arrow to go from my bow to the can. My dad was walking toward me in slow motion with a 'what in the world' look in his eyes. I turned back toward my target just in time to see the arrow pierce the starter fluid can right through the main pile of pyrodex at the bottom.

When the shock wave hit, it knocked me off my feet. I don't know if it was the actual compression wave that threw me back or just reflex jerk back from 235 decibels. I caught a half/second glimpse of the violence during the explosion, and I will tell you there was stuff hovering a ft above the ground as far as I could see. It was like a little low-to-the-ground layer of dust-fog full of grasshoppers, spiders, and a crawfish or two.

The daylight turned purple. Let me repeat this: THE DAYLIGHT TURNED PURPLE. There was a big sweet gum tree out by the gate going into the pasture. Notice I said "was." That mother got up and ran off. So there I was, on the ground blown completely out of my shoes with my Thundercats T-shirt shredded. Dad was on the other side of the carport having what I can only assume was a Viet Nam flashback:

 "ECHO BRAVO CHARLIE, YOUR BRINGIN' 'EM IN TOO CLOSE!! CEASE FIRE, CEASE FIRE!"

His hat had blown off and was 30 ft. behind him in the driveway. All windows on the north side of the house were blown out and there was a slow rolling mushroom cloud about 2000 ft over our backyard. The Honda 185's 3-wheeler parked on the other side of the yard had the fenders drooped down and touching the tires.

I wish I knew what I said to my dad at that moment. But I just don't know—I know I said something. I couldn't hear. Heck! I couldn't hear inside my own head. I don't think he heard me either...not that it would really matter. I don't remember much from this point on. I said something, felt a sharp pain, and then woke up later. I felt a sharp pain, blacked out, woke later...repeat this for an hour or so and you get the idea. I remember at one point my mom had to give me CPR so dad could beat me some more. Bring him back to life so dad can kill him again. Thanks mom.

One thing is for sure! I never had to mow around that stump again. Mom had been complaining about that thing for years and dad never did anything about it. I stepped up to the plate and handled business. Dad sold his muzzle loaders a week or so later, and I still have some sort of bone growth abnormality, either from the blast or the beating.

Or both.

I guess what I'm trying to say is, get your kids into archery. It's good discipline and will teach them skills they can really use — like to get the butt kicking of a lifetime.


Wednesday, May 30, 2018

Living in a Leftist Paradise


As I walk through the city where I learned all my tricks,
I pass all the pushers who are selling me their fix;
And that's just fine for a Leftist like me—
You know that I shun all things like bigotry,
Unless your views are different than mine
Then I'd lobby to arrest and impose a fine.
And I've been in the city for oh so long
That even all my friends think my mind is gone.
I'm a man of the street and I hate your white privilege;
Gotta trust in my Big Brother and protest his image.
But if the welfare check still comes and we cash it just in time,
Then tonight we're gonna party like it's 1999.

    We've been spending most our lives
    Living in a Leftist paradise
    I've tried to work once or twice
    Living in a Leftist paradise
    It's well worth all this sacrifice
    Living in a Leftist paradise
    We sell drugs at quite a price
    Living in a Leftist paradise.


There's hypodermic needles all over our roads,
We gave 'em out free 'cause our compassion overflowed.
"It really doesn't matter"— or so we tell—
"just keep on there a-walking and avoid the smell."
We're the pinnacle of tolerance within our land,
"Hey! would you be kind and help me stop that man!?"
We never use a straw; please reuse your grocery bags;
We're all for freedom's choice—don't you dare to wave that flag!
When you come to visit, please adopt our beliefs,
If you can't do that, we'll really give you grief.
We aren't radical or crazy, our skulls aren't filled with mush,
Pay attention to our safe space and listen not to Rush!

            There's no feud, no clash, no altercation,
            Not a single varying thought;
            Like Orwell's famous novel
            Don't you think it or you'll be caught.

    We've been spending most our lives
    Living in a Leftist paradise
    We're really caring gals and guys
    Living in a Leftist paradise
    There's no time for being nice
    Living in a Leftist paradise
    We don't care or even think twice
    Living in a Leftist paradise.

Hookin' up with buddies, stepping over clutter,
Had a riot last week, soon I'll have another.
Think you're really something?  Think you're big of heart?
I'll have Big Brother make sure you do your part!
I'm the poster child that all the Leftist wanna be—
I march around in circles 'cause I wanna save this tree!
So toe the line and don't be high and mighty
Or we'll educate you so you don't dare think "righty"!

    We've been spending most our lives
    Living in a Leftist paradise
    We're all just Leftist Loons
    Living in a Leftist paradise
    Have no job so I sleep till noon
    Living in a Leftist paradise
    Garbage truck is broke so our trash is strewn
    Living in a Leftist paradise.

Monday, February 26, 2018

Collection of Links About Climate Change




Top climate scientist breaks ranks with 'consensus'
  -- 30 Sep 2019
An MIT-trained scientist who has specialized for nearly 25 years in abnormal weather and climate change has published a book explaining why he believes the data underpinning global-warming science are unreliable.
Another Climate Scientist with Impeccable Credentials Breaks Ranks: “Our models are Mickey-Mouse Mockeries of the Real World”
  -- 26 Sep 2019
Dr. Mototaka Nakamura received a Doctorate of Science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), and for nearly 25 years specialized in abnormal weather and climate change at prestigious institutions that included MIT, Georgia Institute of Technology, NASA, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, JAMSTEC and Duke University.

In his book
The Global Warming Hypothesis is an Unproven Hypothesis, Dr. Nakamura explains why the data foundation underpinning global warming science is “untrustworthy” and cannot be relied on:
“Global mean temperatures before 1980 are based on untrustworthy data,” writes Nakamura. “Before full planet surface observation by satellite began in 1980, only a small part of the Earth had been observed for temperatures with only a certain amount of accuracy and frequency. Across the globe, only North America and Western Europe have trustworthy temperature data dating back to the 19th century.”

500 Climate Scientists Write To UN: There Is No Climate Emergency
  -- 24 Sep 2019
Your Excellencies,

There is no climate emergency.

A global network of more than 500 knowledgeable and experienced scientists and professionals in climate and related fields have the honor to address to Your Excellencies the attached European Climate Declaration, for which the signatories to this letter are the national ambassadors.

The general-circulation models of climate on which international policy is at present founded are unfit for their purpose. Therefore, it is cruel as well as imprudent to advocate the squandering of trillions on the basis of results from such immature models. Current climate policies pointlessly, grievously undermine the economic system, putting lives at risk in countries denied access to affordable, continuous electrical power.


Apocalypse Now — More Things Scientists Would Like You to Forget
   -- 25 Sep 2019
Of late, scientific consensus has been apocalyptic. When you read this morning that we only have a few years left before we are incinerated by our over-heated planet, it’s worth recalling the science apocalypses of recent memory...

...But we must never confuse scientific consensus with science. Science is inquiry. Consensus is cloture of inquiry. What is consensus is not science. Yet consensus has its place — it makes it possible to act corporately.

The purpose of consensus in science is to manipulate. It’s a political act. It permits scientists to act as a polity. The purpose of the scientific consensus in engineering is to manipulate nature. The purpose of scientific consensus in evolution, in global warming, and in discreet patronage is to manipulate you.


Climate ‘Experts’ Are 0-41 with Their Doomsday Predictions
   -- 20 Sep 2019
For more than 50 years Climate Alarmists in the scientific community and environmental movement have not gotten even one prediction correct, but they do have a perfect record of getting 41 predictions wrong.

In other words, on at least 41 occasions, these so-called experts have predicted some terrible environmental catastrophe was imminent … and it never happened.

The World Might Actually Run Out of People
   --  04 Feb 2019
The United Nations predicts that the global population will soon explode. In Empty Planet, John Ibbitson and Darrell Bricker argue they're dead wrong.

By 2050 there will be 9 billion carbon-burning, plastic-polluting, calorie-consuming people on the planet. By 2100, that number will balloon to 11 billion, pushing society into a Soylent Green scenario. Such dire population predictions aren’t the stuff of sci-fi; those numbers come from one of the most trusted world authorities, the United Nations.

But what if they’re wrong? Not like, off by a rounding error, but like totally, completely goofed?

That’s the conclusion Canadian journalist John Ibbitson and political scientist Darrell Bricker come to in their newest book, Empty Planet, due out February 5th. After painstakingly breaking down the numbers for themselves, the pair arrived at a drastically different prediction for the future of the human species. “In roughly three decades, the global population will begin to decline,” they write. “Once that decline begins, it will never end.”


Wrong Again: 50 Years of Failed Eco-pocalyptic Predictions
    -- 18 Sept. 2019

Modern doomsayers have been predicting climate and environmental disaster since the 1960s. They continue to do so today.  None of the apocalyptic predictions with due dates as of today have come true.





Are the Glaciers in Glacier National Park Growing?
  --  Sept 2017

NASA Confirms Sea Levels Falling Across the Planet
  -- Oct 2017

Global Temperatures Continue to Cool
  -- Nov 2017

Hot News from Antarctic Underground
  -- Nov 7, 2017
  A new NASA study adds evidence that a geothermal heat source called a mantle plume lies deep below Antarctica's Marie Byrd Land, explaining some of the melting that creates lakes and rivers under the ice sheet.


NOAA Caught Adjusting Big Freeze out of Existence
  --  Feb 20, 2018
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has yet again been caught exaggerating  ‘global warming’ by fiddling with the raw temperature data.

Scientists warn of unusually cold Sun: Will we face another ice age?
  --  Feb 8, 2018
A study by the University of California San Diego has claimed that by 2050, the Sun is expected to become cool... And the last time it happened was in the 17th century when the Thames River froze. Scientists call this the "Maunder Minimum".

Physicist Dan Lubin at the university and his team studied the past event and concluded that we are in for a worse case. The Sun is expected to get much dimmer than last time and, in scientific terms, it is a "grand minimum" -- a time period in the 11-year solar cycle when the solar activities are at the lowest point.

Record Snowfall Piling up around the Earth
  --  Feb 11, 2018


Hypocrisy of Jerry Brown on Climate Change & Jet-Setting
  --  Nov 2, 2017

NOAA Caught Lying About Arctic Sea Ice
   -- Feb 24, 2018

After 30 Years, Alarmists Are Still Predicting A Global Warming ‘Apocalypse’
  -- Nov 25, 2017
For at least three decades scientists and environmental activists have been warning that the world is on the verge of a global warming “apocalypse” that will flood coastal cities, tear up roads and bridges with mega-storms and bring widespread famine and misery to much of the world.

The only solution, they say, is to rid the world of fossil fuels — coal, natural gas and oil — that serve as the pillars of modern society. Only quick, decisive global action can avert the worst effects of manmade climate change, warn international bodies like the United Nations, who say we only have decades left — or even less!

STUDY: Satellites Show No Acceleration In Global Warming For 23 Years
  --  Nov 29, 2017
Global warming has not accelerated temperature rise in the bulk atmosphere in more than two decades, according to a new study funded by the Department of Energy.
University of Alabama-Huntsville climate scientists John Christy and Richard McNider found that by removing the climate effects of volcanic eruptions early on in the satellite temperature record it showed virtually no change in the rate of warming since the early 1990s.

“We indicated 23 years ago — in our 1994 Nature article — that climate models had the atmosphere’s sensitivity to CO2 much too high,” Christy said in a statement. “This recent paper bolsters that conclusion.


Straight Talk about Climate Change
   --  Nov. 30, 2017
Acad. Quest. (2017) 30:419–432
DOI 10.1007/s12129-017-9669-x

New Best Selling Book ‘Body Slams Climate Agenda In New Bestseller’
   --  Mar. 6, 2018
Morano’s book exposes the hypocrisy of jet-setting, yachting limousine billionaire leftist elitists, who lead pampered lives in energy-guzzling mansions and private jets while preaching to the rest of us trying to make ends meet about the need to forego fossil fuels.

Schwarzenegger to sue Big Oil for Murder

Alarmists Resurrect Theory That Global Warming Is Making Winters Colder
  --  Mar. 14, 2018
Research purports to bolster theories that man-made warming is leading to colder U.S. and European winters, but buried in the paper is an admission undercutting its findings.

The study, published in a “Nature Communications” January 2018 issue, claimed historical data showed an East Coast cold snap is two to four times more likely when the Arctic is abnormally warmer than when the pole is colder. It’s not a widely accepted theory among climate scientists, but the study’s made the rounds in the media, touted as more evidence man-made warming is making U.S. winters colder.
 

Climate activists predict both outcomes — more snow, less snow — so they are never wrong
  --  Mar. 14, 2018
Here we go again. Climate activists are once again claiming that ‘global warming’ is making winters snowier and colder.

But a new book reveals the long history of climate activists making opposite predictions so they can always claim they “predicted it” correctly.


Book Excerpt: Back in 2000, when it was still “global warming,” David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia (the institution that would be at the epicenter of Climategate), was featured in a news article in the UK newspaper the Independent with the headline, “Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past.” Viner predicted that within a few years winter snowfall would become “a very rare and exciting event. Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.” See:   Flashback 2000: ‘Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past’ – ‘Children just aren’t going to know what snow is’ – UK Independent

Gore travels to Dubai, warns: ‘Global warming’ triggering ‘flying rivers, rain bombs’
  --  Mar. 18, 2018
Gore issues new climate warning: Bizarre weather such as “flying rivers” and “rain bombs” are just some of the recent effects of climate change, warned former US vice-president Al Gore at the Global Education and Skills Forum (GESF) in Dubai on Sunday...global weather is becoming “extreme” and “disruptive”, mainly because of global warming, Gore explained.

Approaching ‘grand solar minimum’ could cause global cooling
  --  Mar. 18, 2018
There’s a lot of evidence mounting that solar cycle 25 will usher in a new grand solar minimum. Since about October 2005, when the sun’s magnetic activity went into a sharp fall, solar activity has been markedly lower, with solar cycle 24 being the lowest in over 100 years.

NOAA Data Tampering Approaching 2.5 Degrees
  --  Mar. 20, 2018
NOAA’s US temperature record shows that US was warmest in the 1930’s and has generally cooled as CO2 has increased.  This wrecks greenhouse gas theory, so they “adjust” the data to make it look like the US is warming.

The NOAA data tampering produces a spectacular hockey stick of scientific fraud, which becomes the basis of vast amounts of downstream junk climate science. Pre-2000 temperatures are progressively cooled, and post-2000 temperatures are warmed. This year has been a particularly spectacular episode of data tampering by NOAA, as they introduce nearly 2.5 degrees of fake warming since 1895.

Arnold Schwarzenegger Promotes Gas Guzzling Helicopter Ride over L.A. While Suing Oil Companies for ‘Murder’
  --  Mar. 21, 2018
Actor and environmental activist Arnold Schwarzenegger is gassing up the chopper for a gas-burning helicopter joy ride for some lucky contestant, even after he said that he would sue oil companies for killing people with fossil fuels.

Arctic Ocean Almost Totally Ice-Covered
  -- Jun. 27, 2018
On the 26th of June! Where’s that (so-called) global warming?
Look at this map.

Monday, May 09, 2016

Some Musings on Evolving Thoughts

Note: This essay was originally written & posted on Facebook on 9 May 2012.  I have brought it here, four years later—to the very day—and edited it.

Fundamentally the issue of "gay marriage" comes down to a basic application of what you believe about absolutes.   Yes, what you believe affects how you live.

If you believe that there are fundamental rights and wrongs which are defined in sacred text and you believe that God has a set of laws that are not constantly evolving, you are most likely to be against redefining marriage.

If you do not see any sacred text as anything other than a set of nice principals (at best) that we can learn a little from so as to be nice to one another, and if you do not see anything as fundamentally or absolutely right and wrong, then you probably have no problem asserting that it is only fair that the gays and lesbians be given the right to marry too.

I have a few basic problems with this.

Yes, I can hear the arguments: And John Lennon himself said “It matters not who you love, where you love, why you love, when you love or how you love, it matters only that you love.”

Really?  Then why does our society look down on pedophiles and polygamists?  Why are teachers who cavort with their students (even if technically of "legal age") shunned and prosecuted?  Yes, I know that these do not "love"--they are using the younger person.  Using and abusing.  But to the people within these relations it seems like love.  Couldn't the argument be made that it is wrong for us to impose our antiquated beliefs and morals on their progressive view of love?  I mean, it only matters that you love, right?

I can hear the arguments to what I just wrote.  "That is so different.  That is comparing apples to bananas.  It's not even close."

Maybe.  But consider how public opinion changed in the space of less than forty years or so.  Homosexuality was shunned and not talked about in open, polite society.  Yes it existed, but it was not paraded about except in a few places.  And now?  Public opinion has tilted in favor of homosexual marriages--at least in some places.

But I ask:  Marriage -- something that has been the working definition of human society since the dawn of recorded history.  If we redefine marriage so that it is NOT "one man, one woman," then what prevents it from being redefined to something else in a few more years?

Seriously.

There are groups that are starting to push to legalize polygamy.

There are groups that advocate "love" between men and boys, or men and girls.

Some want to marry their pet.

Society now thinks that is either a little weird or abhorrent.  But are there any absolutes that would prevent popular opinion a few years down the road from giving approval to such redefinitions?  You can't say, "O nobody would EVER go that far."  Why not?  Most people seventy years ago would have NEVER thought that same-sex marriages would EVER be considered.

You have to ask these questions if you do not believe in absolutes.  You can't just assume that "it would NEVER happen that....."  Why not?  Societies change.  If there are no absolutes, then what we consider wrong and taboo might well be accepted as good and normal in a different society.  This also was a major part of the minority opinion in the recent California State Supreme Court decision.  "Is polygamy next?"  (2010, Hollingsworth v. Perry, Justice Marvin Baxter.)




    The bans on incestuous and polygamous marriages are ancient and deep-rooted, and, as the majority suggests, they are supported by strong considerations of social policy. Our society abhors such relationships, and the notion that our laws could not forever prohibit them seems preposterous. Yet here, the majority overturns, in abrupt fashion, an initiative statute confirming the equally deep-rooted assumption that marriage is a union of partners of the opposite sex. The majority does so by relying on its own assessment of contemporary community values, and by inserting in our Constitution an expanded definition of the right to marry that contravenes express statutory law.

    That approach creates the opportunity for further judicial extension of this perceived constitutional right into dangerous territory. Who can say that, in 10, 15, or 20 years, an activist court might not rely on the majority’s analysis to conclude, on the basis of a perceived evolution in community values, that the laws prohibiting polygamous and incestuous marriages were no longer constitutionally justified?

I can hear that some would say that no society ever had child marriages.  I would say, do a little more research.  Some would say, well, there have been societies that have tolerated or even condoned homosexual relationships.  Yes, Greeco-Roman culture is one that comes to mind.  But were they on the ascent or the descent when widespread acceptance of homosexuality came about?  But regardless, those societies never changed the definition of marriage.

I do not believe in the absence of absolutes.  I am a Christian and I see that God has written a specific code of behavior that is how He wants His creation to live.

I also know that some would point to this verse or that verse in the Bible and say, then if there are no homosexuals allowed then we can't eat pork.  You have to understand the difference between laws that God wanted the nation of Israel to follow because they were a theocracy and laws that are moral and reflect God's character.  And if you have a hard time with that, forget the Old Testament for a moment.  The New Testament has specific references to God's view of what marriage is supposed to be and what it is NOT supposed to be.

Of course, I'm not going to run roughshod over you and force you at sword-point to believe what I do.  I will talk with you, try to reason with you, but it's your choice.  We live in that sort of country. 

But before you go and say that the Bible doesn't count, it doesn't say how we are to live, make sure that you know by what standard you are living.  Is it your own?  Is it defined by popular culture?  If you have no absolute standard, you merely have a slippery slope, ever changing and evolving to fit the latest version of whatever accommodates and feels good to the majority of society.

There are consequences for all actions.  I do not see the end result of a redefinition of marriage as good.  But I also believe in a civil dialogue.  I'm not going out and fire-bombing anything.  I hope that my writing here will cause some to think.  Think carefully about what you are basing your assumptions on and what your assumptions will lead you (and society) to if unchecked.

Friday, April 29, 2016

Target and the Bathroom Wars

I'm beginning to think that I'm in a large-scale sit-com where all the events of the day are meant to bring shock or laughter from an unseen audience, timed to fit with an unheard laugh-track.  Or maybe it's worse.  This is all a part of some over-arching plan to break down my resistance and make me think the same as everyone else and thus become assimilated into the larger Collective.

Crazy?

Yea, maybe.

Yet we're arguing over potties.  We're having a discussion over how many genders there are.  Some people are couching the argument in terms of "safety" or "uncomfortableness" and there is something to be said for some of those arguments.  But that is not the fundamental issue.

The 800 pound gorilla in the room is there are fundamentally two and only two genders.

Yet those of us who insist that are being beaten down with the cruel bludgeon of new-speak.  It is like watching a retelling of that Star Trek: The Next Generation episode, "Chain of Command," where in Captain Picard is captured and taken to an interrogator, Gul Madred, who uses a number of torture methods, including sensory deprivation, sensory bombardment, forced nakedness, stress positions, dehydration, starvation, physical pain, and cultural humiliation to try to gain knowledge of the Federation's plans for Minos Korva. Picard refuses to acknowledge Madred's demand for information. Madred attempts another tactic to break Picard's will: he shows his captive four bright lights, and demands that Picard answer that there are five, inflicting intense pain on Picard if he does not agree.



You can watch part of the interrogation here.

The person trying to break Picard wants Picard to say there are FIVE lights even though there are plainly only FOUR.  It's a small thing, isn't it?

"How many lights are there?"

"Four!"

Zap—pain induced.  Picard falls down.

Isn't that the same thing going on with The Bathroom Wars and its related issues?  It's not really that bad, is it?  It won't really affect you, will it?
"How many genders are there?"

"TWO."

Zap—call out the media and the PC-police to take such a one down.

For the Christian this is an absolute.  God spoke and made male and female and said that it was good.  Any confounding of that issue is a ploy to undo what God has made.   I'm not talking about the obvious exceptions.  It is NEVER wise to design for the exceptions first.  No, in programming as in science, design of code or of a model is geared to the majority of cases first, then the instances that do not fit are examined and further refinement of the code or the model happens to account for those.

Start with the majority of cases:  male and female (men and women, boys and girls) then implement exceptions as necessary with all grace, dignity and decorum.

When did this become the battle cry and mantra:
 "The needs of the One outweigh the needs of the Many!"

And one final point: "Self-identify"?

What sort of medicine allows  patients to self-identify their disease and cure?
"Hello, I self-identify a case of strep- throat.  Please ready a prescription of ampicillin for me.   I'll be by to pick it up at 4 this afternoon."
Yeah.  Right.  Sure.

Self-identify?  Isn't that a bit like the inmates run the asylum?  Has anyone really thought through the reality of what that means?
"I feel like a ........."
The doctor should take that under consideration and then measure reality with observed symptoms.

"Self-identify"?  Seriously?  Then why can't people self-identify as another race? (Oh, they did and were laughed at.)  Why can't they self-identify as another species?  (Oh, they are and some are accommodating them.)  Why can't they self-identify as..... [fill in the blank].  And then doesn't reality take a back seat to what the individual wants it to be?  A grownup version of "You can be anything you want when you grow up!"

Saturday, December 05, 2015

Sensible Gun Control

Note: this was written on Dec 5th after the San Bernadino shooting.  It is still applicable today and no one has answered my questions and concerns.  Especially points # 6 & 7.

In the wake of yet another tragedy involving guns, many have immediately sprung out their renewed call to ban guns, ban some types of guns, limit guns or at least limit access to guns.  I have seen many arguments trotted out on both sides of the debate, but neither side is really listening to the other side to understand their position.  If there is any listening it is merely to grab a phrase or a sound bite to throw back, mangled and hackneyed, as the form of "social media" that pretends to be modern debate.

If you want to do that, just stop reading now.  I am trying to ask some serious questions that I have not seen either side address yet or address well.

(I must admit that the gun control side does do itself some credibility by jumping to conclusions before the facts are in.  The most recent "humorous" version was the headline touting the drunk driver at the Oct 24th OSU homecoming parade as "Shooter kills 4; 30 injured"!  Seriously.  See: Traverse City Record-Eagle, Oct 25, 2015.)

Before we jump into the feeling driven response fueled by fear mongering (of either side!), I want to know what is driving the mass shootings. 

First—
As per FBI, mass shooting is where 4 or more are shot/killed.
    Under Reagan:  11 mass shootings
               Bush Sr.:  12 mass shootings
               Clinton:  23 mass shootings
               Bush Jr.:  16 mass shootings
               Obama:   162 mass shootings
Something happened in the last seven or eight years.  A serious discussion must include all possible contributions to this huge increase in gun violence.

Second—
Almost all mass shootings, especially those that involved many victims, were located in areas designated "Gun Free Zones."  Before you merely poo-poo and dismiss gun advocates' arguments that armed citizens stop gun violence, you need to address:
  • Why the carnage is so much higher where everyone is disarmed (except the bad guy).
  • Do you have a feasible plan to make Gun Free Areas really gun free?  Because obviously something isn't working now.  Are you suggesting that everyone entering these areas should be subjected to TSA style search and frisking?  That ought to make going to the mall or the movie theater extra fun.  (Note, that was sarcasm.)
  • No, I'm not saying that I want every Tom, Dick and Harry or even Sally, Jane and Granny armed to the teeth.)
Third—
Many police chiefs and sheriffs are openly suggesting or telling citizens to arm themselves.  Here is a small list:
Let me repeat and rephrase: Law enforcement is telling the citizenry to arm themselves!

Any carefully formulated anti-gun position must carefully show why the opinions of law enforcement are to be ignored.  Many of the arguments from Law Enforcement include the fact that the police cannot get to your emergency instantaneously.  You are on your own for many long minutes or longer.  Thus a carefully reasoned response must include law enforcement's call that the public start taking more responsibility for their own safety.  Such a response will have to include police response time and exactly what the victim can do to protect himself/herself until the police arrive.  Something that is hopefully more helpful than peeing.


Fourth—
There needs to be consistent standards applied to what is good journalistic technique and what is shoddy—mere passing along hear-say or personal opinions. And I fault all sides on this one even though I will point out examples from the media.

Examples:
  • There have been some in the media who immediately started report that the lone gunman who shot up the Planned Parenthood clinic was 1) Christian and/or 2) pro-life.  Yet court records show that he is not Republican and actually has identified as a Woman.  See: The Gateway Pundit.  Local pro-life groups report that they had never seen him in their meetings before and neighbors never heard him talk about religion or abortion.
  • Nidel Hasan, the Ft. Hood shooter.  This event was labeled "workplace violence" by the administration .  "Army officials have never called the first Fort Hood mass shooting, in November 2009 — when Maj. Nidal Malik Hasan shot dozens of soldiers in what he said was an attempt to protect Taliban leaders in Afghanistan from American troops — an act of terrorism."  (See NY Times.)  And in spite of the fact that Hasan has expressed a desire to join the Islamic State.  (See LA Times.)
  • Yet the media have been very reticent and hesitant to report or even suggest that the couple that shot up the Christmas party in San Bernardino might have any connection to Islam.  Although this one is harder to hide, especially since the FBI has declared this to be an act of terror.
My point is that the media (and bloggers and social media users) should refrain from commentary as fact until the real facts are in and known and settled.  Your initial "gut level" instinct may be wrong.  Don't run with a story to prove your narrative of what you think is fact.  Be open minded; use the same critical thinking skills that scientists and detective are supposed to use: let the data point to the conclusion; not that your conclusion points to the data you choose.


Fifth—
We need an honest appraisal of what gun laws are really doing.

In the wake of the San Bernardino shooting, Sen Boxer, of CA said the following:

     "We've proven in California that Sensible Gun Laws Work."

No.  We need an honest appraisal.  California has among the strictest gun laws in the nation:
  • Assault weapons banned
  • Magazine capacity limited to 10 rounds or less
  • No open carry of fire arms
  • Required: background checks for all sales at gun shows
  • Required: background checks for every firearm purchase
  • Required: minimum 10 day waiting period for each firearm purchase
Yet, there was the San Bernadino shooting.  Obviously, California Laws did not work!

Any honest assessment MUST include these facts and how, so far, they have not reduced the carnage.  Also an honest assessment will address how Chicago with among the strictest anti-gun laws of US cities is still a greater crime capital on an ongoing basis (8 killed, 20 wounded just over Thanksgiving weekend) than the Colorado Planned Parenthood shooting (3 killed, 11 wounded).

Honest assessment must also deal with the hard reality that "Gun Free Zones" do not make people actually safe.  Not as they are implemented now.  (See #2 above.)

Sixth—
Let's assume, for argument's sake that you are able to get rid of every single gun from the USA.  (Or every single gun of a certain make and model.)  How do you keep more from coming in?

Right now our borders are very porous.  It's not just humans with needs who are coming in, there are also many contraband items: drugs, firearms, human trafficking, illegal food products**, etc.

** imagine the economic disaster if some livestock disease comes in through unguarded borders.
For instance, FMD has not been seen in the US since 1929.  The consequences today would be unbelievably devastating.  The consequences of guns and weapons coming across our nearly unregulated borders are also devastating.

So, a full-orbed gun-control policy would have to address borders and immigration and control of things entering our nation.  I cannot emphasize this enough and it is something that I have not seen addressed to any depth.  Gun-control MUST address border control or it will fail.

Seventh—
How are you really going to disarm Americans?

Seriously.

The NY Times in their historic front page editorial of Saturday, Dec 5, 2015, said, "It is possible to define those guns in a clear and effective way and, yes, it would require Americans who own those kinds of weapons to give them up for the good of their fellow citizens."

Yes, it is possible to define guns and outlaw them, but how would you enforce the entire country to give up their guns?
  • Are you saying that it would be voluntary?   Some would, no doubt.  Not most.
  • Are you saying that law enforcement would go door to door to check each house and confiscate any illegal weapons they find there?  Good luck on that.  I believe that you would be subjecting the officers to undue danger.  By that one law, you will have made a whole class of citizens—who, up to that point, were law-abiding and peaceful—to be criminals by merely possessing the firearm.  I don't think you want to disenfranchise that many people simultaneously.  Unless you seriously want to provoke internal conflict and have the Federal government go full Waco, Texas or Ruby Ridge—all across the whole USA.  Simultaneously.
Eighth—
The NY Times did point out a very important caveat: "No right is unlimited and immune from reasonable regulation."

Here I would say that the gun-rights advocates have reacted to a long erosion of gun-rights (both perceived and actual) and the continued clamoring for further restrictions.  There should be reasonable restrictions placed on this constitutionally guaranteed right.  I don't want the mentally unfit or the convicted criminal to have access to purchasing a gun.  But I do see what the gun-rights advocates are worried about.  Politics is a slow beast of incrementalism.  That's why I am throwing ALL these concerns out here so that they may all be dealt with.  Fairly and honestly.

Ninth—
What are other factors?

As some folks from the south or rural America have pointed out, many folks grew up with guns all around all the time.  It's not the guns that have changed, it's something in the human and the human condition.
  •  Psychiatric drugs.  Some have claimed that some of the mass shooters over the last couple of decades were also taking or coming off of psychiatric drugs.  I think that the claim that all are, is unwarranted an sensational drivel.  But some of these mass murders were not mentally healthy and some had prescriptions for various psychiatric drugs.  Some do list mania, suicidal thoughts and/or aggression as unwanted side-effects to watch out for.
  • Growing up in a fatherless home.  There are a number of studies that point to the huge negative effect of having no dad at home.  This link lists 8 with the source for each in parentheses.  University of Virginia Professor Brad Wilcox made the observation in 2013 that "one common and largely unremarked thread tying together most of the school shooters that have struck the nation in the last year is that they came from homes marked by divorce or an absent father."  
Shouldn't we look at these contributing causes as we try to deal with the overall national tragedy? If we merely get rid of all guns, we will still have these underlying trigger points and we will have depressed individuals acting out, trying to kill—not with a gun, but with knife, sword, car, improvised home-made bomb, etc.

Tenth—
Now there are jihadists with an expressed desire to kill us.  This sounds like the exactly wrong time to disarm the general populace.  Any gun-control proposal better include how I can protect my family and myself in the face of an enemy sworn to hurt, harm and destroy.  The formulaic answer that looks historically and says that you are more likely to die of [ fill in some answer here ] is completely unrealistic because this is a new threat and an emerging problem and if things are left unchecked, will continue to grow and add carnage after carnage like Paris and San Bernardino.


Finally—
I'm sure there are other aspects that I haven't thought of, but this list is a start.  If we cannot address these issues completely and honestly, we will never be dealing with the real issues of gun violence.  We will only be treating symptoms.


Additionally [added 06-Nov-2017]—

Leah Libresco, a statistician and former newswriter at FiveThirtyEight (a data journalism site), investigated gun control measures and their effectiveness.  The research changed her mind.


I used to think gun control was the answer.
My research told me otherwise.


"Before I started researching gun deaths, gun-control policy used to frustrate me. I wished the National Rifle Association would stop blocking common-sense gun-control reforms such as banning assault weapons, restricting silencers, shrinking magazine sizes and all the other measures that could make guns less deadly.

"Then, my colleagues and I at FiveThirtyEight spent three months analyzing all 33,000 lives ended by guns each year in the United States, and I wound up frustrated in a whole new way. We looked at what interventions might have saved those people, and the case for the policies I’d lobbied for crumbled when I examined the evidence. The best ideas left standing were narrowly tailored interventions to protect subtypes of potential victims, not broad attempts to limit the lethality of guns."


Additionally, I have started a list of gun related articles, adding to it from time to time.  That list may be found here:  "Collection of Links About Gun Control"